Pink Poogle Toy Forum

P(12:10-72:10): 69%
EV: 1.97-2.62

Bets:
(all in SW; Young, Fair) x Goo x Scurvy
Fed x Goo x Ed
(HC - Black) x Fed x Goo x Scurvy

36:10 Not too shabby!

I got the same 36:10 (again with different bets, )! Still have a bit of catching up to do for October to not break my "doubling my money" streak, but we've got time yet.

New day, new bets:
P(12:10-48:10): 71%
EV: 1.38-2.07

Bets:
(Fair, Stuff) x Scurvy
(all in SW; all in HC) x Bonnie x Scurvy

If you wanted to go even safer, you could drop the SW safeties and add in Bonnie x Scurvy base bet along with Young x Scurvy and (Fair, Bonnie) x Black safeties, but I felt the overall P(win) was already high enough.

Today's a "special" day - this set of bets will guarantee you break even or win (as long as Fair doesn't come back down to 4):

Black
Orvinn
Squire
Scurvy x (Fair, Young, Stuff)
Scurvy x Bonnie x (All in HC)

Will edit in my bets in a bit.

Following system, mostly, with some boosters skipped to put in a couple safeties.

(Bonnie, Fair) x Black
(Young, Stuff, Bonnie) x Scurvy
Fair x Scurvy x (all in HC)
Stuff x Scurvy x Stripe


ETA: 36:10, woot!

12:10

I didn't properly follow my system; it wanted me to put boosters on Fair as well as Bonnie, but I was in a hurry and deviated. That teaches me! I'd have gotten 36:10 or 48:10 instead. Ah, well. At least I still profited.


P(8:10-48:10): 74%
EV: 1.15-1.37

Bets:
(all in TI) x Goo
(Black, Scurvy) x Fed
(all in HC) x Scurvy x Goo

Blargh. So tired and rushed again. (My system says to bet on Lagoon instead of HC, but HC has a higher P(upset) and thus higher P(more NP).)

(Young, Stuff) x (Fed, Goo, Ned)
Black x (Fed, Goo)
Scurvy x (Fed, Ned)

Hopefully Captain won't pull through, and hopefully I'll hit something. Could be decent...but no boosters, so...who knows. Mostly following, having taken out the Orvinn boosters to substitute in some later safeties.

18:10

Not bad. Need a big win or two to get back over double for the month, though.

Also 18:10. I also need a couple bigger wins to catch up to doubling for the month. Or at least a few more of the 30-40 range, that is.

P(24:10-112:10): 46%
EV: 2.16-2.96

Bets:
Tail x (Peg, Black) x (Buck, Luck) x Goo
Young x Peg x Buck x Goo
Tail x Capn x Buck x Goo
Tail x (Buck, Luck) x Goo
Tail x Peg x Buck x Goo x (Bonnie, Scurvy)

I'll either win big(gish) or go home empty-handed. Hopefully the former.

Young x Buck x Goo
Young x Peg x Buck x Goo
Tail x Peg x Buck x (Goo, Fran)
Tail x Peg x Luck x Goo
Tail x (Luck, Ed, Buck) x Goo
Tail x (Capn, Black) x Buck x Goo

Mostly following. If it turns out to be a 2's day, I'll miss out on some boosters, but I felt like covering a few things further down the list instead.

32:10...for one of the bets I pulled up instead of using boosters. Actually paid off to do this time, woot!

There was a double upset, and of course not one of the ones I covered. Ed was too far down the list when I placed my bets,. I didn't like the coin flip, but I was once again rushed and didn't have time to figure out how to improve it. I would have considered Ed, but who knows what I would have settled on. I didn't have time, so it's a moot point. *sigh*

(Ed, Fair, Fed) x Stripe
(Ed, Fair) x (Stuff, Puff)
Fed x (Stuff, Puff, Squire)

Did 'em in a hurry, so who knows...

ETA: 8:10. Meh. Better than a bust, though...

I didn't post because the odds were so horrible, but I did manage a 12:9 (yes, the odds were that bad that I couldn't find 10 bets to place).

Today looks better... or maybe it's a trap.

P(24:10-72:10): 49% (additional 11% chance of 8:10-12:10)
EV: 1.58-2.42

Bets:
Bonnie x (Stripe, Scurvy) x Goo x (Buck, Luck)
Bonnie x Scurvy x Goo x Ned
Ed x Scurvy x Goo x (Buck, Luck)
Bonnie x (Goo, Peg) x Buck
Bonnie x Goo x Luck

Meh. Feeling a little iffy about my bets since we're still in Ochtober, but the system works...

Hurried these in:
Ed x (Stripe, Scurvy) x Goo x Buck
Bonnie x Peg x Buck
Bonnie x Stripe x Goo
Bonnie x (All in Lagoon) x Goo x Buck
Bonnie x Scurvy x Goo x Ned
Bonnie x Goo x Buck x Fed

Glad I trusted my system. 72:10