Food Club [Split 2]

[Siniri]

New day:

Bets:
(Goo, Fran) x (Fed, Luck; HH - Capn)

Not following system. Probably shouldn't bet at all, but I've got to leave on my holiday trip now and can't resist.

[Pickles]

Well, PPT was down when I made my bets, but I covered Goo x Young so I ended up with a 26:10. Black cost me some seriously good returns, though! Ah, well, can't frown at a 26:10! I mean, you could, but it'd be silly to, with the way this month has been going!

[Siniri]

4:10. Should have skipped, or at least not spread myself too thin. Betting before the odds shift is always a crap shoot.

New bets:
Goo x (all in Lagoon; HH - Orvinn)
Luck x (HH - Orvinn)

Same as yesterday... probably shouldn't have bet. Hoping it works out better today, though!

Last edited by Siniri on Thu Dec 22, 2016 7:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.

[Pickles]

Meh. Today looks terrible. Would recommend skipping. Definitely not a "safe" set....I'm figuring there'll be an upset. In fact, I'm hoping there's an upset. Preferably one that I covered.

(Stuff, Squire) x (Bonnie, Puff, Capn)
Luck x (Ed, Stripe, Tail; Bonnie)

Once again, meh.

[Siniri]

22:10. Wish I'd had the guts to not cover any safeties (both yesterday and today), but at least I came out positive today.

[Pickles]

Busted (as expected). Really didn't think Goo was going to make it, but Puff would've sunk me if I'd followed the system anyways. Tomorrow looks like it might be a little better. Guess we'll see...

[Siniri]

P(18:10-84:10): 75%
EV: 2.04-2.53

Bets:
(Fed, Squire) x Goo
Fed x Goo x (all in TI; all in HH)

Today feels like a trap. Here's hoping it's not!

[Pickles]

Spreading myself thin to cover upsets, in the hopes of catching something rather than nothing.

Fed x Goo x (All in HH)
Fed x (Bonnie, Peg, Luck)
(Squire, Orvinn, Capn) x Goo


ETA: Safety! 26:10 on Orvinn x Goo.

And with that, I'm finally net positive for the rest of the month, even if I lose every day. Finally.

[Siniri]

Busted. December has not been very giving. *sigh* Hopefully the pirates will be nice for Christmas.

New day, new bets:
P(16:10-72:10): 57%
EV: 2.38-3.06

Bets:
Scurvy x Young x Goo x (Fed, Black) x Luck
Scurvy x (Ned, Young, Stripe; Fed) x Goo x Luck
Scurvy x Young x (Buck, Fran) x Luck
Scurvy x Young x Goo x (Ed, Bonnie)

Please don't be another trap, FC!

[Pickles]

Didn't have time to think mine through. Barely had time to get them in.

Scurvy x (Young, Ned) x Goo x Fed x Luck
Scurvy x (Ned, Young, Stripe) x Goo x Luck
Scurvy x Young x Goo x Ed
Scurvy x Young x (Buck, Fran) x Luck
Scurvy x (Fran, Goo) x Fed x Luck

[Siniri]

64:10 Woot!

P(12:10-32:10): 56% (with additional 34% chance of 6:10-8:10)
EV: 0.96-1.51

Bets:
(Buck, Tail) x (Goo, Scurvy, Ed)
Buck x Goo x (all in HH)

Merry Christmas, Happy Hannukah, and Happy Day of Giving! Let's hope the pirates are feeling generous...

[Pickles]

64:10 yesterday, as well, yay!

Playing a little riskier than Siniri today.

Buck x (Goo, Scurvy) x (all in HH)
Buck x Ed
Tail x Goo

[Siniri]

32:10. Not bad!

[Pickles]

28:10
Not complaining. Still way better than nothing!


ETA: Mostly following exactly, with the exception of pulling up a Luck safety from further in the top 20. Hopefully it doesn't turn out to be Goo x Scurvy, or I'll bust.

Luck x Scurvy x Tail
Goo x Black x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)
(Buck, Goo) x Young x Tail
Buck x Black x Tail
Buck x Scurvy x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)

[Siniri]

P(8:10-42:10): 75%
EV: 1.61-1.95

Bets:
Goo x (Black, Young, Scurvy) x Tail
Goo x Scurvy x (Capn, Orvinn)
(Buck, Luck) x Scurvy x Tail
Buck x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)

Edit: Was betting on the fly, so I just followed my system, choosing the bets that had at least a 3% chance of winning. I knew there was a big chance of a double upset, but I just didn't have the time to tease out which I should place. The winning combo was really high on my list, but I skipped it. Ah, well. I think Pickles got it. Congrats!